Annual
sales for open-source database software will skyrocket from $120
million now to $1 billion by 2008,
predicts Forrester Research analyst
Noel Yuhanna,
forcing commercial vendors to lower their prices over the
next few years.
He estimates that 35 percent of all open-source
database usage will involve critical business functions by 2006.
Open-source database applications such as MySQL and PostgreSQL are not
only cheap,
but rapidly evolvable, and Yuhanna says Linux's success is
making such software increasingly palatable to businesses.
PostgreSQL
developer Pervasive Software will release PostgreSQL for free, and make
money by selling support services.
Pervasive CEO David Sikora reports
that PostgreSQL has several advantages over MySQL:
For one thing, its
lineage is older than MySQL's, which adds up to more stability and
advancement;
in addition, PostgreSQL falls under the Berkeley software
distribution open-source license,
which is considered more flexible
than the general public license Linux subscribes to.
On the other hand,
MySQL boasts more users than PostgreSQL,
and it has attained status as
one of the LAMP core open-source programs.
Other open-source databases,
such as Firebird from Borland
Software,
SAP's MaxDB, Ingres,
and
Berkeley DB,
will compete with MySQL and PostgreSQL.
IBM, meanwhile,
released its Cloudbase database program to the open-source Apache
Software Foundation last year,
and experts think the software, renamed
Derby, could also be a major rival to PostgreSQL and MySQL.